The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) and private security firms have reported anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBM) fired from Yemen as the latest in the ongoing attacks against vessels in the region
The United States Department of Defense CENTCOM branch that covers the Middle East, Central and South Asia reported two ASBMs fired by Iran-backed Houthi rebels on 2 January, at approximately 21:30, local (Sanaa) time.
CENTCOM said the attack was the 24th levied against merchant shipping in the Southern Red Sea since 19 November.
"Multiple commercial ships in the area reported the impact of the ASBMs into the surrounding water though none have reported any damage," CENTCOM said.
Both the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) naval service and private maritime security consultants Ambrey described an incident 33 nautical miles east of Assab, Eritrea in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in which "up to three" explosions occurred in the vicinity of multiple merchant vessels.
Maersk has, on 5 January, officially confirmed that it will divert all of its vessels that are due to transit through the Red Sea or Gulf of Aden south around the Cape of Good Hope. The line said the diversion would hold "for the foreseeable future".
"The situation is constantly evolving and remains highly volatile, and all available intelligence at hand confirms that the security risk continues to be at a significantly elevated level," a Maersk customer statement said.
"By suspending voyages through the Red Sea/Gulf of Aden, we hope to bring our customers more consistency and predictability despite the associated delays that come with the rerouteing. While we continue to hope for a sustainable resolution in the near future and do all we can to contribute towards it, we do encourage customers to prepare for complications in the area to persist and for there to be significant disruption to the global network."
On 2 January, container shipping giant Maersk said it would stop all transits through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden "until further notice".
The line linked its decision to a 30 December attack against its Maersk Hangzhou vessel. The company said it is assessing vessel movements on a case-by-case basis.
"An investigation into the incident is ongoing and we will continue to pause all cargo movement through the area while we further assess the constantly evolving situation. In cases where it makes most sense for our customers, vessels will be rerouted and continue their journey around the Cape of Good Hope," the company said.
New Year’s eve attack
CENTCOM reported on two separate incidents on 31 December, one being against Maersk Hangzhou, which was struck by a missile. As US naval vessels responded, they shot down two further missiles fired from Yemen, the US military group said.
"Today at approximately [20:30] (Sanaa time), the container ship Maersk Hangzhou reported it was struck by a missile while transiting the Southern Red Sea. The Singapore-flagged, Denmark-owned/operated container ship requested assistance, and the USS Gravely (DDG 107) and USS Laboon (DDG 58) responded to the ship. The vessel is reportedly seaworthy, and there are no reported injuries. While responding, the USS Gravely shot down two anti-ship ballistic missiles fired from Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen toward the ships," CENTCOM said.
Also on 31 December, Maersk Hangzhou issued a distress call reporting an attack by four "Iranian-backed Houthi small boats".
"The small boats, originating from Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen, fired crew-served and small arms weapons at Maersk Hangzhou, getting to within 20 m of the vessel, and attempted to board the vessel. A contract-embedded security team on Maersk Hangzhou returned fire. US helicopters from USS Eisenhower (CVN 69) and Gravely responded to the distress call and in the process of issuing verbal calls to the small boats, the small boats fired upon the US helicopters with crew served weapons and small arms. The US Navy helicopters returned fire in self defence, sinking three of the four small boats, and killing the crews. The fourth boat fled the area. There was no damage to US personnel or equipment," CENTCOM said.
On 29 December, CENTCOM reported it shot down a drone and an ASBM fire by the Houthis on 28 December.
"There was no damage reported to any of the 18 ships in the area or reported injuries," the military service said.
UKMTO incident reports mirrored those from CENTCOM.
On 28 December, the US Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announced new sanctions the US said were targeting the "network financing Houthi attacks on international shipping".
OFAC specifically designated one individual and three entities it claimed are responsible for facilitating the flow of Iranian financial assistance to Houthi forces and their "destabilising activities".
The US cited so-called Exchange Houses that move Iranian funds to "Houthi-aligned financial firms in Yemen".
“Today’s action underscores our resolve to restrict the illicit flow of funds to the Houthis, who continue to conduct dangerous attacks on international shipping and risk further destabilising the region,” US Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Brian E Nelson said. “The United States, along with our allies and partners, will continue to target the key facilitation networks that enable the destabilising activities of the Houthis and their backers in Iran.”
Potential rate increases
Many financial analysts tracking the impact of the attacks on the cost of transporting goods have cited the potential for rate increases across multiple shipping segments.
In one such analysis, Xeneta chief analyst Peter Sand said rates "could increase by 100%" due to the attacks and vessels being rerouted to avoid them.
Mr Sand said, “The massive spike is already here. Ocean freight carriers are desperately trying to recoup the cost of sending vessels from the Far East to the Mediterranean, North Europe and US East Coast via the Cape of Good Hope rather than heading through the Suez Canal."
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